Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.005611 0.006398 0.007306 0.008442 0.009842 0.011536 0.013775
2026-01-25 0.004453 0.005391 0.006571 0.008206 0.010474 0.013619 0.018522
2026-02-01 0.003727 0.004679 0.005945 0.007815 0.010631 0.014946 0.022615
2026-02-08 0.003228 0.004158 0.005445 0.007444 0.010648 0.015975 0.026583
2026-02-15 0.002982 0.003940 0.005317 0.007564 0.011412 0.018404 0.034305
2026-02-22 0.002718 0.003657 0.005047 0.007401 0.011645 0.019935 0.041087
2026-03-01 0.002482 0.003389 0.004763 0.007162 0.011675 0.021062 0.047682
2026-03-08 0.002298 0.003179 0.004542 0.006989 0.011787 0.022393 0.055943
2026-03-15 0.002213 0.003112 0.004541 0.007200 0.012700 0.025915 0.074963
2026-03-22 0.002153 0.003078 0.004587 0.007503 0.013881 0.030680 0.106293
2026-03-29 0.002108 0.003063 0.004663 0.007871 0.015313 0.036990 0.160540
2026-04-05 0.002000 0.002934 0.004524 0.007787 0.015640 0.040073 0.205506
2026-04-12 0.001902 0.002822 0.004419 0.007790 0.016279 0.045041 0.294429
2026-04-19 0.001785 0.002670 0.004229 0.007585 0.016336 0.048013 0.389345
2026-04-26 0.001661 0.002499 0.003987 0.007236 0.015902 0.048747 0.466416
2026-05-03 0.001552 0.002345 0.003765 0.006902 0.015442 0.049167 0.553298
2026-05-10 0.001503 0.002295 0.003738 0.007010 0.016339 0.056944 1.002785
2026-05-17 0.001431 0.002198 0.003610 0.006864 0.016406 0.060601 1.513068
2026-05-24 0.001357 0.002094 0.003460 0.006648 0.016198 0.062618 2.152452
2026-05-31 0.001295 0.002008 0.003341 0.006493 0.016160 0.065818 3.495035
2026-06-07 0.001272 0.001992 0.003360 0.006683 0.017392 0.079408 17.381859
2026-06-14 0.001257 0.001989 0.003408 0.006955 0.019048 0.100064 NaN
2026-06-21 0.001247 0.001995 0.003473 0.007286 0.021106 0.131163 NaN